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There are a lot of things I like about ZeroHedge (I read it multiple times a day), but I’ve got a few gripes. First, their comments section, as some of you know, is a brutal cesspool. Second, on occasions when there are data spikes in a feed (thus producing a corresponding huge spike in a chart), they will write up a “WTF??” article about it as if it was real, even though it isn’t.
But perhaps what bugs me most of all is this kind of thing:
Take a look at the following charts of the SPX:VIX ratio. Appearing in order,
For the third day in a row, price closed on Tuesday above what I’ve called the 200 “New Bull Market” level since it first broke through during the first week in 2017. It still has a way to go before it runs into the 250-280 “Bull Froth Zone,” where we’ve seen traders/investors spike the price first, then take profits in the SPX since then, beginning in May 2017.
(more…)Well, I had pulled together a bunch of ETFs, nice and neat, to talk about them, but out of the clear blue sky some kind of rumors about the deal terms of the long-awaited China/US agreement are flying around, the equities are zipping northward again.
The short term resistance on the SPX 5dma and 50hma that held for much of last week eventually broke and delivered the high retest and marginal higher high that I was looking for in the event of that break. So what now?
Well I’m expecting this to be the second high of a double top or possibly making the head on an H&S. 15min sell signals have fixed on SPX and an hourly sell signal has fixed this morning on ES. This high could already be in, and the rising wedge on ES from the last low has now broken down, which is promising. A small double top has broken down slightly towards a possible H&S neckline in the 2854 area, and there is now a substantial double top in place which on a sustained break below 2789 would look for alternate targets in either the 2728 or 2706 area.
(more…)Here’s an interesting little experiment. I pulled up SlopeCharts and entered the symbol $MISERY (yeah, my kinda symbol), which shows the “misery index” of inflation and unemployment. I drew two lines, one at 10 and one at 4. Over the span of this chart, MISERY went above 10 twice and below 4 three times (the most recent of which was, oh, right about now).
