At the outset, I want to make plain I respect the rights of others to their work, and I offer this post (and its second part, for premium readers) based on Fair Use principles. This post I am composing is an overall critique of the financial prediction industry, and I am including excerpts from various works, most than a decade old in most cases, to make a point.
I would also make very clear my familiarity with “Those who live in glass houses……….’ The purpose of these two posts isn’t to laugh at predictions that never transpired. But I definitely want to make plain that respected, well-funded, and widely-read pundits can create some breathtakingly bad prognostications, and we can only realize that in hindsight.
Let us begin with this page, which was part of a very, very lengthy report from Longwave Group. (As with all these images, click it for better readability; those of you with big screens will have no trouble being able to read the copy). The thrust of this report was that the Dow was heading to 1,000. The chart offers a conjectural path, which was basically similar to a lead sphere being dropped from a skyscraper.
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