Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The Devil, You Say!

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In late May of last year, I did a post called The DMC Challenge which had a very simple premise: I would take a hypothetical $500,000 wad of cash and put all of it into my best long ideas and best short ideas, evenly distributed among every symbol, and see what happens. When I did the post, the first comment was:

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Well, it’s been almost eight months, so let’s check in on the Devil May Care portfolios!

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Another Endless Uptrend

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Infographic: One Year On, The Pandemic Still Rages | Statista

As a side note, I’m awfully curious what the long-term effects on commercial real estate will be. The landlords in this area seem to believe that once this blows over, things will flop back to normal and it’ll be 2019 all over again. My view is that owning commercial property will be disastrous for a long time to come. Some of the effects of C-19 are permanent alterations of the capital landscape.

A Strong Start to 2021

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My daughter went back to university on Saturday and that was the end of the holidays for me. They were the most relaxing for me in years which was nice, but all good things come to an end.

The UK is back on full lockdown until at least March due to the new COVID variant and that may last into the middle of the year. This new variant is much more transmissible it seems and many UK hospitals are close to being closed to new admissions, so the impact on health infrastructure is considerably greater than it was in the first wave of infections. This is the second wave. There are some cases of this new variant in the US but hopefully it won’t become widespread.

There were three waves in the 1918 pandemic, but with luck the new vaccines will allow us to skip wave three. It will of course take several months to a year to vaccinate everyone who wants a vaccination though. On to the markets.

On the SPX monthly chart there is now a clear monthly upper band ride and the monthly upper band is now rising strongly. The SPX monthly upper band is now at 3781 and could reach 3800 by the end of the month if SPX keeps rising. (more…)