Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

SPX DAILY Probability Analysis

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Hello everyone — after a bit of a hiatus, I’m back. I’ve been busy behind the scenes building a few new tools that I hope you’ll find useful in your trading.

Below is a small table showcasing three markets I’m currently analyzing using a DAILY model. I also track other markets using a WEEKLY model. The choice of timeframe isn’t random — it’s driven by options expiry cycles. Since these models are designed to work hand-in-hand with options trading, I align the model’s frequency with the available expiries. For example, SPX has daily expirations, so it gets a DAILY model. Stock ABC, on the other hand, might only have weekly expiries — so it gets a WEEKLY model. Simple logic.

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The Revue

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As a side note, I drove to my childhood home of Moraga last night, which I hadn’t visited in years, with the wife and little Duke. I am sentimental by nature, so going to a place where I spent the happiest years of my life was a turbocharged blast of sentimentality. Duke behaved himself beautifully, even with all the attention he was getting (“can I pet him?”, “can I take his picture?”, etc.) There must have been a hundred other dogs there, most of whom he got to meet.

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