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One excellent representation of the “risk on” and “risk off” mindset of the general public can be found by way of Bitcoin, even if what we’re talking about is equity markets. For many months, this thing has been thrusting up and easing down (yet with successively lower lows and lower highs), surfing along with the capricious psyche of the investing public.
All the new weekly pivots are on the daily charts posted below.
The last few days I have been watching the resistance at the daily middle band on all three of BTCUSD (Bitcoin), ETHUSD (Ethereum) and SOLUSD (Solana). An H&S pattern had formed and broken down on Solana, and another was still forming on Ethereum. If resistance at those daily middle band held then the setup was likely to break down further, into targets of 119 on Solana and 2,250 on Ethereum. On a sustained break up over those daily middle bands, and the failure of the H&S pattern on Solana on a break back up over the H&S right shoulder high at 152.17.
(more…)Last week I was writing about the inflection point that Crypto had reached short term, and they are still in that same inflection point, with a decision really needed in the next day or two if Crypto are going down any further, so a couple of days more uncertainty will considerably increase the odds of a break up.
The overhead resistance is, mostly, at the daily middle bands. I say mostly because BTCUSD (Bitcoin) has already broken back above it on Monday and tested the 50dma, though it failed there and closed back below the daily middle band yesterday and so failed to confirm Monday’s break above.
(more…)In the short term there are very clear bull and bear scenarios here on Crypto, clearest on SOLUSD (Solana), though on the bigger picture these are still likely bull flags forming.
In terms of that larger picture, resistance is still at the daily middle bands, and on BTCUSD (Bitcoin) that is currently in the 61,246 area. A sustained break above that likely signals that the move to retest the all time high at 73.8k is in progress.
BTCUSD daily chart:
Just as excitement about Bitcoin ETFs goosed crypto to lifetime highs, so, too, did chatter about Ethereum ETFs push $ETH higher. It seems to me that about $2815 is a firm limit.
