Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Retesting Broken Support

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SPX 60min RSI 14 and RSI 5 buy signals fixed at the close last night, and the various decline patterns on ES, NQ and TF all broke up overnight. I suspect strongly that this is a rally before another leg down and if so, then the resistance levels that I’m watching here are the retest of the daily middle band from below at the broken floor at 2085, then the 5dma in the 2095-7 area that should be bolstered by the 50 hour MA as well if reached. If that area gets turned into support then the retrace from the highs is likely over.

On the SPX daily chart main rising channel support from the Feb low was broken at the open yesterday. That was an important break and opens up what may be a much deeper retracement. On a sustained break below the last serious low at 2025 the double top target would be in the 1930 area, which would almost exactly be a 61.8% fib retracement of the rising channel from the February low. After yesterday morning’s break that possible retracement target is in the mix now. SPX daily chart:

160615 SPX Daily

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Counting on Crude

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Friday, Monday, Tuesday – all great days. I must be dreaming! As of last Wednesday, I was ready to jump off the nearest bridge, since the market just kept pushing higher, irrespective of news or any kind of information. How quickly things change.

Wednesday is a big deal, of course, since it’s one of the four “big” FOMC meetings. My most fervent wish (as you listening, God?) is for Yellen to do her thing, and the market (after its usual spasm) starts falling hard, realizing that the old coot is, at the end, powerless to hold back reality in perpetuity. That day, of course, will eventually come, but I’m sick of waiting for “eventually”. We need that “Emperor Has No Clothes” moment, even if it is a century-old dwarf she-male who wasn’t even physically attractive in her twenties.

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Suggestion for Hillary Campaign Theme

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I’ve got to be gone for three freakin’ hours for end-of-year school conferences, so in the meantime, I offer you Rush’s The Big Money, with particularly germane lyrics boldfaced:

Big money goes around the world
Big money underground
Big money got a mighty voice
Big money make no sound
Big money pull a million strings
Big money hold the prize
Big money weave a mighty web
Big money draw the flies

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