
Bull Victory Bar

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Leaving aside our usual inclusion of macro fundamentals and market ratios, today let’s take a simple technical look at the S&P 500 and gold.
As the US stock market was becoming deeply oversold (and over-hated, sentiment-wise) in December we planned for a holiday seasonal bounce, which finally arrived with the immediate reversal after the Christmas Eve massacre when the machines (and a few human casino patrons) drove it to its downside climax. The bounce was almost a certainty, given the sentiment backdrop of the moment.
(more…)My decision on December 26th of last year to dump virtually every short I had, buy GUSH, buy FAS, and short bonds, was the result of some of the most shrewd, most clear-headed thinking I’ve ever done.
In contrast, my impatience and eagerness to jump back into the world of bearishness, having had such a great quarter in Oct-Dec, was one of the worst. Indeed, in my own words from this post of December 26th:

Ya know, as hard as the past three weeks have been for bears, I was hanging in there just fine……….until THIS bolt out of the blue:

For most stocks, losing $9 after hours would be a huge move, but for the likes of NFLX, it’s practically a non-event. Suffice it to say, the excitement of the subscription increase two days ago seems to have absorbed all the bullish mojo in advance.
