Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

SPX and Gold; Pivotal Points at Hand

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Leaving aside our usual inclusion of macro fundamentals and market ratios, today let’s take a simple technical look at the S&P 500 and gold.

As the US stock market was becoming deeply oversold (and over-hated, sentiment-wise) in December we planned for a holiday seasonal bounce, which finally arrived with the immediate reversal after the Christmas Eve massacre when the machines (and a few human casino patrons) drove it to its downside climax. The bounce was almost a certainty, given the sentiment backdrop of the moment.

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The Forbidden Zone

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My decision on December 26th of last year to dump virtually every short I had, buy GUSH, buy FAS, and short bonds, was the result of some of the most shrewd, most clear-headed thinking I’ve ever done.

In contrast, my impatience and eagerness to jump back into the world of bearishness, having had such a great quarter in Oct-Dec, was one of the worst. Indeed, in my own words from this post of December 26th:

q te
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