Ya know, given my choice of billionaires, if you’ve got one guy (Elon) who is developing an array of Earth-changing technologies, and on the other (Bezos) a man engaged in an endless party, tom-catting around the world in the world’s most embarrassing midlife crisis, with a shameless lifelong gold-digger I’ll take Elon.
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Bear Case: Valuation (by LZ)
These are my top reasons for being bearish here. This is not a timing call although in my opinion, the market has been the walking dead since the AI-spike. Most of these are slow moving data points though and say nothing about short-term action or sentiment.
Give Me the Best Risk-Adjusted Return
The DJIA divided by the CPI. There are two potential bear markets: 1930s (2000 and 2008) or 1970s. Big difference in the performance of commodities and bonds. Stocks will also be difficult for trading in an inflation scenario. It could be 2022 and 2023 repeated for years while inflation incinerates purchasing power.
(more…)Dollar General Examples
Low-end retailer (to put it kindly) Dollar General has lost about 50% of its value since last year. As a chartist, I find this failure fascinating since it illustrates the importance of this very long price channel. DG’s entire existence as a public entity has been contained within this channel until quite recently, but once a bit of damage was done, the writing was on the wall.
(more…)Profiles in Courage
I had actually forgotten we even HAD the volume profile study. I gave my all-important XLU a look, and this is encouraging, since there’s a thick wall holding off price ascent.
(more…)R.M.S. Arrogance
As a follow-up to my Fading Arrogance post from the wee hours of this morning, here is someone else’s similar take on the Jim Cramer situation:
We are fucked
by u/TotherCanvas249 in wallstreetbets