I watch Jordan’s lectures constantly, but I found this one particularly enjoyable:
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
The Results
Well, that pretty much wraps up the earnings season. From here on it, it’s pretty much Dullsville. My hunch to G.T.F.O. of Amazon turned out to be a good one, in spite of my self-deprecatory statement that my disposal of the puts would surely guarantee the stock’s collapse. On the contrary, thank God……….
Autumn Fall (by TNRevolution)
Greetings to my Slope family. Now that we’ve made it to August of this year, the bullish combination of seasonality mixed with the March Fed banking bailout appears to be wearing off. I wanted to take a step back and look at the big picture once again, along with some of my primary positions that I’m holding heading into the end of the summer.
First, let’s take a look at the 10 year crude oil to broader market analog. I think this will be important for both the remainder of this year, but I also believe it will be an important guidepost for what is coming down the pike over the next couple of years. As a reminder, what crude oil did ten years in the past gives us a good echo for what to expect the broader market to do in today’s market. This is not a tick for tick, day by day analog. It also focuses on direction, not magnitude of expected moves.
(more…)AMZN and AAPL Empirical
As the quarterly reports calendar shows, this afternoon’s big event is the Apple and Amazon earnings releases. I wanted to share the Reaction Graphs for both of these to illustrate, over a very long period, how the market has reacted in the past to these events.
In the case of Amazon, the last three quarters have yielded a negative result (although the last one was quite modest). The gargantuan upside surprises are way in the past.
Oh, No, You Don’t.
The VIX spent eight full weeks dicking around below the horizontal line I’ve drawn, persistently trying to get volatility to stay in the sub-teens. I sure hope we’re done with that nonsense, because, let’s face it, a 12-handle VIX sucks!
