Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
AI Mania drove semiconductor stocks and server stocks higher for most of the year, until they got smacked in the face on July 16th. After a hard tumble, they’ve bounced back, but only partly. I suggest that the retracement is already complete, and the well-defined right triangle tops serve as powerful barriers to further price ascent. Dell is an excellent example.
Powell has put booster rockets on equity markets for most of this month, but an objective look at the semiconductor index reveals an important truth: this sector is broken and broken badly. A failed channel. A broken recovery trendline. A clean gap down. And, most recently, a retracement back to just beneath the same price gap. This sucker is just itching to plunge.
To get away from all this “top this” and “top that“, let me turn my attention to the two assets I’ve been persistently bullish about: gold and bonds. Those have been doing great! Aided by the prospect of lower interest rates, bonds have strengthening nicely, and as I’ve shown in prior posts, I think they’ve got months of strength ahead. And why? Because the Fed is going to have to cut, and cut, and cut, to try to goose an economy that is in a free-fall recession.
I do not want you – – or me – – to lose sight of the big picture, in spite of the carnival which happened on Friday. You see, I was away from my screens most of the day, and seeing the raw quotes and reading the breathless headlines, I figured it was the end of the world of the one or two bears left on the planet. The moment I got back to see my screens, I saw nothing had changed. The /ES is still as wrecked as it was before.
