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The Sahm indicator is a respected predictor of recessions. It has recently crossed above a crucial threshold (I’ve placed a horizontal line to highlight it). Do you have a favorite candidate for President? Great! Hope that the OTHER person wins, because they’re in for a hell of a time.
Below are three stocks that have these things in common: (a) I identified them all as bearish candidates when they were vastly more expensive (b) I bought puts on them (c) I sold the puts not long afterward, probably at a loss (d) I missed out on multi-hundred-percent gains on CONSERVATIVE (many months out, in the money) put options. What a dope!
