In my post on Friday 12th June I was looking at an inflection point on multiple US equity indices where I was expecting to see a number of H&S patterns to fail with targets at retests of the all time highs (ATH). The H&S patterns failed, and we saw ATH retests on DIA and IWM, but never saw those ATH retests on SPX or QQQ.
The main reason we never saw those retests was the weakness on the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) which dropped over 20% from the June high into the low last week.
There too we see another H&S, which has broken down with a target in the 9150 area and the main reason we have seen a decent rally attempt on SPX and QQQ this week is that we have been seeing a strong rally on SOX, with a possible target at the daily middle band, currently at 12,785.
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