……… While You Are Busy Making Other Plans – Allen Saunders

The ideal day for the bears today, after yesterday’s strong break over the daily middle band, would have been an AM high in the 2735-40 range on ES, then a break and conversion to resistance of 2716 on ES, and a trend day down closing the day well under the daily middle band in the 2700 area and delivering a very bearish daily middle band rejection candle.

The high this morning was low, not retesting the globex high on ES and not setting any decent hourly sell signals brewing. 2716 was then slowly converted to resistance, a process requiring a break of the level, a backtest that holds that level and then continuation in the direction of the break, but then ES found support at the weekly pivot at 2709, rejected back over 2716, reconverted that to support and continued up. This has more or less eliminated the possibility of seeing a rejection candle today, subject to presidential comments of course, (more…)

The hourly buy signals on ES, NQ, SPX and NDX all reached target today and the RSI 5 buy signal on RUT has reached target as well. Only the hourly RSI 14 buy signal on RUT hasn’t yet reached target and that is weakened by fixing at the same time as the RSI 5 buy signal that has reached target. ES and SPX both had pattern targets in the 2725 area that have been reached, NDX/NQ and RUT/TF have reached minimum targets but could go a little higher on their reversal patterns.

We are expecting this to just be a rally before new 2018 lows and the next reversal back down should start soon, though very possibly from higher and not necessarily from a high made today. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF: (more…)