Yesterday afternoon I sent a quick update post to all the subscribers at my Crypto SubStack to warn them that there was now a high quality bull flag setup on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) that on a break up would look for a target at a retest of the September high at 66.5k. I also noted that the hourly RSI 14 sell signal that had formed and fixed as Bitcoin was hitting flag resistance had reached the possible near miss target. I was thinking of circulating this more widely but SubStack was having issues yesterday afternoon, so I thought I’d just cover this in a post today.
(more…)Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Double (Top) Or Nothing
In my last two posts I’ve been talking about the possible short term topping setup here on equity indices in the context of the historically reliable daily sell signals fixed but not yet made target still on SPX and Dow.
In the first of those posts I was talking about the possible H&S patterns that might form, noting that if they failed to complete and break down then the prior highs would likely retest, giving a second shot at a high setups with double tops.
In my last post I was looking at the decent quality H&S patterns that had then formed on SPX, NDX and Dow, noting that to break down below the pattern necklines, all three would need to break back below their daily middle bands. If that didn’t happen I was saying in the premarket video that day that we would likely see high retests on at least SPX and NDX.
(more…)The Possible H&S Patterns Mostly Formed Now
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In my last post on Friday I was talking about the impressive track record for the daily sell signals currently fixed on SPX and Dow and looking at the possibility that H&S patterns might be forming for another leg down on SPX, NDX and Dow as those made target..
After yesterday those H&S patterns are mainly formed now, and if we are going to see those break down I’d expect that to happen in the next day or two, as otherwise the right shoulders, compared to the left shoulders, will start looking too disproportionately large, so the quality of the patterns will deteriorate.
(more…)Record CCI on FXI
PLEASE NOTE that, quite obviously, we've had some rough technical issues the past 12 hours, but it's only because we're doing a major upgrade. I've mentioned four times in a row (but somehow people keep missing it) that comments are OFFLINE for the foreseeable future (and it's tempting, frankly, to LEAVE it that way until December 1st, considering what's about to happen). Anyway, the site is 98% functional. and we're working on this sacred Day of Rest to even get comments restored.
The ETF for Chinese stocks, FXI, has had an incredible two weeks. I don’t use indicators much but take a gander at the CCI for the entire history of FXI. It has never been higher. Ever. The last time it was anything close to this high, it immediately fell for months. This is an historic ascent.
Weighing The Options
In mid-September I wrote a post looking at a big inflection point on equities, and the large decline we could see from there on the pattern setup. Let’s see how that’s looking now.
There were two big nested double top setups that had formed on Dow and SPX. The first of those was on Dow and that has gone high enough since to destroy the setup. While that has happened though Dow has established a high quality rising wedge from the Oct 2023 low that is holding so far, and that has wedge support currently in the 40,000 area.
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