Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Demi-Wimp
We had a really nice drop so far down – – down over 160 on the Dow at one point – – and I'm bagging my profits on the S&P 500 and Russell 2000. My oil and precious metal puts are doing great. So – – same old story, everyone – – I'm hanging on to my zillion small equity puts (which you can identify on the right side now!) and taking profits on the equity puts.
The Dow is getting close to 12,000, and that could represent some pretty meaningful support. We've had a number of bounces at that area, it's a psychologically important area, and it's a Fib resistance level. The only exception we had was the mini-panic around January 22nd. It would take some Big New Information to give us the strength to push it down more in the short-term.
China is interesting. You can see the horizontal line that used to be support is now very substantial resistance. It is still safely within its channel, but a break beneath that lower support line would spell further weakness.
I'm getting more aggressive with my gold shorts. I like how gold and oil are softening up today.
If I'm wrong about the indexes, and they continue to plunge, I'm going to have left plenty of cash on the table. The indexes are a mixed bag. Some of them seem to be nearing short-term bottoms. And others, like the MidCap, seem to have plenty of room left to fall.
My Favorite Gold Short
I know gold is going up and up and up. $1,000/ounce gold is virtually a foregone conclusion.
In spite of this, there are some gold and mining stocks that I really like as bearish plays. One of my favorites is ABX (Barrick). It has huge volume, and its bid/ask spread is quite reasonable (particularly when compared to $XAU options, which are freakishly thinly traded).
