Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Looking Better

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OK, I am a fast typist (Sure, you want a piece of me? I'll take you on!), but I am nervously eying my battery indicator since I only have a few minutes of juice left. Start the tense music!

Today was a pretty good day. Our friend the Fibonacci continued to scare the IWM away. Hold that line!

Volume continues to shrivel, though. Do you realize today's IWM volume was one THIRD of what it was back on March 14th.

All that matters to me, though, is that we continue to carve out a series of lower highs and lower highs. Given that, we can rest assured we can trade bearishly and profitably. Violate that trend, and I get grumpy.

Since I am frantically trying to get this post done before my laptop goes kaflooie, I will simply post a few of my favorite positions now, without comment. I have puts on all of these. You can tell they tend to be retracements, by and large. I hope some of you yield some good ideas from these examples!

OK, I made it to the finish line! Good night! 

What about Gold and Oil?

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Well, it's hardly a rout, but 100+ points off the Dow as of this writing is a nice change. My index puts (SPX, NDX, RUT, DIA) are all doing dandy.

I had a field day over the past few weeks with oil and gold shorts, and I got out last week. I've been getting back in – – in some cases, too early – – although my interest in oil shorts is much stronger than gold shorts. I think gold as as commodity could shock everyone, heading to $2,000/ounce, so I'm not getting too freaky with the shiny stuff. I do find ABX an interesting "kiss the trendline" opportunity, so I've got a small position on those puts.

The slippery stuff, on the other hand, is getting possibly enticing again. 

 The IWM is pretty key at this point as for the indexes. The next Fib level to break is 69.05, and that's a ways away at this point (IWM is 69.67 as of this writing). IWM is in between Fibs at this point, so we'll just have to bide our time.