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Sorry I've been so quiet. I never felt so on my game as yesterday. I never felt so off my game as today.
So I've been holding back taking any big positions or commitments. I feel I really missed a beautiful trade, with the /ES plunging from 844 to 808 in a matter of hours………..but tomorrow is another day!
It's unwise to plunge ahead when one isn't feeling right with the market. I'm taking it easy for the moment, and my only action plan at this time is to catch up on reading your comments.
I've got puts on TLT and am long TBT. I've pointed out how bonds were in a bubble, and I'm glad to see at least this trading idea continues to pan out!
Today has stunk for me so far. First, the big push into energy has been a fiasco. The bulls can't hold any rally together more than a few hours. Second, I completely missed out on what was a slam-dunk short on the ES:
This is a really disappointing day so far.
The cleaning up of my portfolio – – moving from a gazillion positions to a consistent handful – – has begun. It's nice now and then to get a "zinger" like Aflac this morning….
But, in the midst of dozens of other positions, the extra profit doesn't make a heck of a lot of difference (the above is one I closed this morning, incidentally).
I continue to move through charts and keep only the ones that deserve to stay alive for now………..smaller, bigger positions is going to be my goal once this cleanup is done, and that could take a few weeks before it's really complete.
Dealing with a market like this is a daily challenge. Monday: Closed. Tuesday: Down over 300. Wednesday: Up nearly 300. Thursday (first few minutes): Down 150.
The bulls can't seem to hold it together for more than one day. Still. It's a bit frustrating. I am holding on to my energy longs, although obviously they're having a rough time of it this morning. One thing I'll say – – – being "hedged" doesn't sting quite so much now as it did last night!
