I have shuttered my /ES short at a loss, because I am far, far too concerned about what might be next out of this pattern:
The pattern could fail, obviously, but even though I trade actively, I am not into gambling. I would rather wait for a better entry point, should one materialize.
At this point I am about 50% in cash (which for me is a very high percentage); my commitments are all on the short side, with the exception of my IRA account, which, as usual, is a bunch of little bullish positions.
From all corners, I am hearing about what a hard market this is to trade. It makes October look like Kindergarten. I think we're all pretty sick and tired of it. But what can you do? Just wait until a clear opportunity appears. Simply hoping things will go one's way isn't trading – – – it's more akin to what they do in Vegas.