If I were to look at the chart below with no idea what it represented, I would call it a very strong buy. It has a long, well-formed base. It has surging volume in all the right places. It had an enormous breakout and a successful retracement without violating its breakout. Basically, it has everything you’d want to see when you bought a financial instrument.(more…)
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Hey Fellow Slopers: In my last post (“Too Late To Hedge“), I wrote that it was too late to hedge market risk, but it wasn’t too late to go on offense:
Go on offense. If you have cash to put to work, you can buy and hedge Portfolio Armor‘s top names, or open one of the hedged portfolios constructed of them. Portfolio Armor is selecting securities with the aim of generating positive returns, not just losing less than the market, as you can see below.
This is a crazy-hazardous market, with explosions and shocks happening every moment. All the same, I humbly offer one long idea, XOP, which seems smashed to smithereens.
Human nature is a funny beast. Doesn’t it make all the sense in the world that history’s biggest IPO, based entirely on Saudi Arabia’s accidental oil wealth, would go public just days before a monstrous collapse in the commodity? (Please note this chart is sadly out of date and does not include the oh-my-God drop that has just taken place).
Oh my LORD, the table is cracking with the profits I left behind. My short picks were so ungodly good, and I covered so many of them. Particularly in the energy realm. This is an historic collapse. Here’s just a taste:(more…)
Further to my post of January 9, GOLD is poised to take the lead away from the SPX in terms of safe-haven money flow, while money has been fleeing OIL.
As shown on the following monthly comparison chart of the SPX, GOLD and OIL, the Balance of Power has shifted from buyers to sellers in the SPX on this timeframe.
For clues as to further weakness or strengthening of the SPX, please refer to my comments with respect the SPX:VIX ratio in my last post, which hints of further weakness. Furthermore, January’s candle formation on the SPX is a shooting star, also a bearish signal in the longer term.(more…)