Slope of Hope Blog Posts

This is the heart and soul of the web site. Here we have literally tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. You can also click on any category icon to see posts tagged with that particular category.

Crude Failed Breakout

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Ironically, probably my best call of the entire year was the one I kept being so embarrassed about: declaring that the crude oil gap at $73.25 would be the peak of a staggering, multi-hundred percent increase in energy over a period greater than two years. Yet that is almost precisely where it flipped around, getting as high as 72.83. Since then, KABOOM, oil has been vomiting all over itself. As it melts past that magenta area I’ve tinted, we have a failed bullish breakout, plain as day.

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Gas Money

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Sheesh, what is with this market? Tuesday was awesome for me. Wednesday was absolutely horrible. And now today, Thursday, is going great. Could the market make up its mind? No, I’ll go one better. Have the market go down 2% daily, every day, until it is 0. That’ll suit me nicely. This up/down/up/down stuff is driving both the good guys (the bears) and the wicked evildoers (the bulls) out of their respective minds. It’s sick.

Anyway. I wanted to share a couple of unrelated short ideas (tied together by my clever post title). The first is the financial sector, XLF, which gapped down nicely where that circle is shown. This sector peaked back on January 29th, and its gap is at 27.72. I have so many bank stocks in my portfolio already, it would be redundant for me to short this one too, but it’s a cool chart.

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The Star Mattered

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Yesterday when I was doing my live Tastytrade show, I pulled up the XOP and noticed that it was in a shooting star formation. I mentioned off-handedly that “one day does not a trend make”, but I felt it was worth noting (and I mentioned this with similar words in my post last night here). You can see yesterday’s formation quite plainly, as well as what’s going on today………..

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WTIC Oil Churns as World Leaders and Markets Digest Israel’s Report on Iran

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The price of WTIC Crude Oil (CL) continues to churn in a tight sideways consolidation range as markets and world leaders digest Israel’s latest release of information regarding Iran’s nuclear program.

As shown on the following daily chart of CL, it’s still in uptrend on this timeframe, and this latest consolidation zone (green zone) may be a “bull flag” formation…suggesting higher prices ahead. (more…)