Slope of Hope Blog Posts

This is the heart and soul of the web site. Here we have literally tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. You can also click on any category icon to see posts tagged with that particular category.

It Wasn’t Supposed to Be Like This

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It is understandable why people would be long Netflix going into earnings. (You can press Ctrl-E in SlopeCharts to see all historical earnings events). After all, NFLX reliably vaults higher every time they announce.┬áThis trend continued until……….it didn’t. As I said earlier, give me this same result with Amazon in 10 days, and this goose is cooked.

The Line of Resistance

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I would first like to point out that the title of this post isn’t “Mind the Gap”. And why is that? Because cliched post titles turn my stomach. It’s the most obvious, tiresome, overused title whenever a post like this comes along. And I’ll be caught DEAD before you see me title something “The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly.” Jesus, man.

Anyway………..the point I wanted to make was that the gap between Friday and Monday bears close scrutiny with respect to the entire tech sector. My view is that today’s UNGODLY boring trading action is just a pause in another leg down. That red line has to be conquered by the bulls in order for them to wrest control back. This trade war business is being vastly underrated in its importance.


Here’s Another Important Gap

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Well, I’ll shut up about the oil gap and turn my attention to something even more important: bonds. Treasury bonds have been roaring higher all week, and that’s not great for me, because my entire options portfolio is oriented toward stronger interest rates. (IYR, TLT, XLU). Relief may be at hand, however. The gap at 120.28 is powerful, and my view is that within a month from now, we’ll have pushed below even the lows we saw earlier in May.