This is the heart and soul of the web site. Here we have literally tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. You can also click on any category icon to see posts tagged with that particular category.
It’s an over obsessed upon commodity, previously hyped for its (Hubbert’s) “peak” status by “experts” like T Boone Pickens and a whole clown show of promoters.
Now WTI Crude Oil has reached a thick resistance zone (as managed in NFTRH for the last couple of years) and may be breaking down from a peak of a whole other kind. Here is the monthly chart we use.
Thanks to President Stable Genius, I’m having a hell of a fun morning. I’ve decided to short XME again, shown here:
As we have noted over the many years of the gold sector’s bear market, the gold miners will not rally for real until the real sector and macro fundamentals come into place. Those fundamentals do not include commonly promoted inflation, China/India “love” trades, a US dollar collapse or especially, war, pestilence or any other human misery than economic. The more astute gold bugs do not fall for that.
The gold miners are counter-cyclical as they leverage gold’s performance (whether positive or negative) relative to cyclical assets and markets. Hence the handy picture showing the key fundamental items with the 4 largest planets orbiting the golden sun being the most important.
So the 3 Amigos (of the macro) were saddled up last year in order to guide us to the point of macro change. Linked here is the most recent update from October 19. In this post let’s look at just one macro fundamental indicator among several important macro and sector fundamentals; the ratio of gold to developed stock markets. (more…)
This one is great; an existing short plus a butt-ton of January 2019 puts on XME, mentioned here, just like all my shorts, countless times.
I mentioned this one yesterday, but I think I only showed its moving averages. Here, much closer (and featuring Price Bars – – a SlopeCharts exclusive) is the metals and mining fund, against which I own puts and am also short.
Good morning, Slopers. It’s quite odd – – we had an enormous surge in traffic yesterday – – and I have no clue where it came from. It’s not like the market was collapsing (which tends to attract a lot of rubberneckers). Oh, well. I appreciate the interest in any case.
It seems to me the United States “full faith and credit” Dollar could be in for a turning point. By way of the UUP, shown below, we can see prices have slipped beneath the 50 and 100 day EMA, and the averages seem to be pivoting at an inflection point. As long as UUP stays beneath that red horizontal, it looks to be in decline mode.
Those of you who watch me on tastytrade probably heard me mention my DUST short yesterday. Turns out it wasn’t a terrible idea. It’s down a lucky-sounding 7.77% at this very moment, thanks to the bounce in miners.
The DUST saucer has been roaring higher, and its little brother JDST looks ready to do the same. It seems hard to believe, considering how trashed gold miners have been for seven years, but………..a saucer is a saucer:
Bitcoin plunged from 7385 to 6830, or 7.5%, Wednesday in reaction to a Business Insider report that Goldman Sachs has decided to drop a year-ago decision to create a crypto-currency trading desk.
Apparently, Goldman is “uncertain” about the regulatory environment. Hmm, really? Since when has Goldman shied away from forging a new path while it influences the architecture of a new regulatory environment?
Be that as it may, let’s notice on the attached chart of September Bitcoin that the reaction to the report triggered a plunge that traversed the entire width of the bullish one-month price channel. But the weakness in and of itself has not (yet?) inflicted serious technical damage to the upmove from the August low at 5850 to the September high at 7415. (more…)
