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I’ve been in the markets since 1987. I thought the market was strange in 1999. I thought it was odd in 2007. But nothing – – nothing! – – comes even close to what we’re going through now. It’s like I’ve met people who were 2’3″ and 1’9″ and then met someone who was four micrometers high. There’s no comparison.
And thus, we’ve seen volatility pounded and pounded and pounded until it is at 11. And why not? Even the most empty-headed simpleton realizes that the Federal Reserve is directly pushing the market up every day, and Dow 30,000 is clearly in their sights. It makes great press. So here’s the sad state of the VIX:
Once again I have to disclaim that at the moment (and for quite some
time now) I hold not one single short position, in anything. I am only
long US and global stocks. But also managing cash and portfolio balance
as usual while feeling as though I’m playing a game of Musical Chairs
while the music still plays (nothing nearly as good as Keith’s style,
which has always resonated with me beyond most others).
Note from Tim: Earlier this week, I did a post called A Breathtaking Tale of Loss, which was simply a link to a story on the WSB sub-reddit that I found fascinating and horrifying. To my chagrin, after I did my post, I saw that the story to which I had hyperlinked had been wiped clean by the town fathers over at Reddit. Mercifully, a Sloper by the saucy name of qtbby69 had the mad skillz to unearth the article, which he provided. For the sake of its exposure, I am reprinting it here. Thank you!
The year is 2017, my parents had a successful real estate business with over a dozen rental properties and several fix and flip projects in production. Our assets totaled a million and a half after paying off all loans if we ever liquidated everything. Which we did, and that’s just the tip of the iceberg.
My oldest brother made the brilliant decision that because he lost his job, he should start day trading. He quickly made $30k on Apple by yoloing his saving in shares before an Apple products release event. Excited by this, he made an entire PowerPoint presentation convincing the family to get into day trading. We were reluctant at first, and I wish it stayed that way.
No, no, this isn’t about being a bear. This post is little more than a hyperlink – – but what a link it is! I just stumbled upon this jaw-dropping story about a family who immigrated to the U.S. and had built up a nice little real estate business, having come from El Salvador with nothing. Regrettably, they decided a couple of years ago to dump all their properties ($1.5 million worth) and try to make a much larger fortune by day-trading and, later, options. You can probably guess what happened, but give this a read.