I grew up during the Cold War. Around 1983, there was a slew of movies and television shows about nuclear war, such as War Games (1982, I think) and a major two-night television event called The Day After in 1983. There was a particular wrenching scene which is captured below (sorry for the not-great video quality, but you’ll get the idea):(more…)
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Whenever I have absolutely nothing pithy to say, I share some germane ETF charts. That’s my gambit tonight: here are a few ETF charts I think are worth a glance. (Follow up note: I began this post with a measure of embarrassment, but God damn, now that I’ve composed it, these charts are good; so I am once again proud).(more…)
And what did today bring us? Pablum. Reassurances. Sleight of hand. And that cocaine-snorting Kudlow threatening equity bears with his so-called Ultimate Bazooka. Thus, the market soared again, approaching a SIX THOUSAND POINT GAIN on the Dow in just a couple of weeks.
And what did Tim do about it? Cry? Cower? Tremble in fear? Buy stocks like Kudlow demanded? Hell, no! I boldly wrote a NOW NOW NOW post and shorted like a son of a bitch. Here, before a candid world, do I reveal my 50 shorts, all of which closed the day profitably.(more…)
It’s quite evident that my pledge, months ago, to make Slope a politics-free zone was wise, and my decision to set that rule aside was a huge mistake. With rare exceptions (some of whom have written to personally thank me), minds cannot be changed.
I am not only re-asserting my pledge to not publish political posts, but I am extending it to the end of 2020. I cannot imagine the discord that’s coming up with the election, and I don’t want to put myself in the crossfire. I have, incidentally, made private the post SB made last night. I did her a disservice by posting it.(more…)
We are in the midst of daily events that would have been unimaginable only weeks ago. There is a particular aspect of the current environment I’d like to write about, and I’d like to approach it by way of a personal anecdote from many years ago.
Early in 1999, I had managed to get my little company, Prophet Financial Systems, on its feet again from a near-death experience from a few years before. The company had always been very thinly funded – – its initial starting capital was all of $3,000! – – and I had slowly and carefully nursed it from something I ran out of a spare room in my house into a real company with a real office and about a dozen employees.(more…)
There are few things more boring and pointless than hearing someone tell you about “the one that got away.” By its very nature, trading generates countless missed opportunities, and anyone who has done this for a while has approximately zero interest in hearing about the big fish that got away. It’s got to be as boring as listening to someone tell you about a dream they had last night.
I’m not here to write a post about the countless profits I let slip away last quarter, but I would like to share a tale of “blowing it” that I think informs my decisions in the immediate future.
Back in mid-February, I did something which I had not done in years, which was buy puts on individual stock. I had reason to believe that Nike (NKE) was going to weaken, so I bought some puts. When I buy options, they tend to be quite conservative. Specifically, I bought some puts that were in the money and didn’t expire for months.(more…)
Over the fifteen years I’ve been writing on Slope, I have received thousands of emails from all over the world. Yesterday, I received an email from a young man which almost made tears stream down my cheeks. The letter crackles with vital questions from a younger generation. The writer gave me his kind permission to share this, and I’d like to respond beneath. This is the email verbatim, with the only change being some boldfacing I’ve added.