Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Complacency to Fear & Back

By -

From last evening’s post regarding the measurement of complacency or fear in the markets by using the Equity Put/Call Ratio, I stumbled upon a way of timing when those transitions are underway.

It all started as I was comparing the large negative divergence in the SPX:VIX ratio to the large one I recall from 2007. As I began marking it up, a light bulb went off as I realized that ALL of the major Equity Put/Call reversals had a concurrent divergence on the SPX:VIX chart. I will plot them above each other for easier comparison.

(more…)

GEX ATH GTFO

By -

Today (Oct 13th), the GEX had its highest reading EVER. I’d like to play with the data and see if I can adjust it for volatility because it seems that the moves have become more and more wild over the past couple of years (ever since Volmageddon). Anyways, back to the topic at hand. Here is today’s reading (click for the zoom in, it’s HUGE). Also, note what usually takes place within a month or so afterwards on SPX (green).

(more…)