Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The Rutles

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As I try to shake off the nothing-is-happening-in-the-market blues, here are a couple of ratio charts, each of which use the Russell 2000 ($RUT) index.

This first one is the entire history I’ve got of the NASDAQ 100 divided by the Russell 2000. As you can see, the ratio chart is at levels never witnessed before, because every human in the entire world has dropped 50mg of LSD and is running around screaming their heads off.

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Stock Market Melt Up Continues

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As Anticipated, Gold Lurks, Changes to Come in 2024. The macro market backdrop is not likely to go the way trend following market watchers currently anticipate.

In fact, with patience it could turn out to be like shooting contrary fish in a barrel. The stock market rally – which NFTRH had anticipated a year ago on a larger basis and since October of this year for its next leg on a more compact time frame – is doing a wonderful job of holding to its seasonal pattern (see below). The rally is sucking in the holdout FOMOs who, one by one are falling for the dual pleasantries of a softening Fed and by extension, a Goldilocks-like “soft landing” scenario for the economy.

Goldilocks was eventually caught by the 3 bears
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