Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The Crazy Train to Bull Eternity

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Once again I have to disclaim that at the moment (and for quite some time now) I hold not one single short position, in anything. I am only long US and global stocks. But also managing cash and portfolio balance as usual while feeling as though I’m playing a game of Musical Chairs while the music still plays (nothing nearly as good as Keith’s style, which has always resonated with me beyond most others).

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Metallic Amigos Ride Into 2020

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At the dawn of what is going to be a hyper-interesting year in the markets and in society, let’s see what the lovable and goofy Amigos have to say. As usual, we’ll use gold and silver daily charts and a copper daily along with a longer-term view with a weekly chart for the Economic Ph.D. metal.

The charts are the metals futures (click ’em for a larger, clear view), live when I clipped them a little while ago. The caveat with the metals as with macro markets in general is that it is still Santa silly season and so the signals are suspect to whatever degree you put weight on that.

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A Market Festivus

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They say that Festivus is the “anti-Christmas”, but in this case we are going to call it the anti-Christmas Eve as the markets close out 2018’s Christmas Eve massacre.

“Many Christmases ago I went to buy a doll for my son. I reached for the last one they had, but so did another man. As I rained blows upon him I realized there had to be another way!”

This year markets are going another way.

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Wooing Inflation

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(Note from Tim; NFTRH was kind enough to post this, and I accidentally published a snippet of the article early today; here, in all its glory, is the complete article):

The Continuum (the systematic downtrend in long-term Treasury yields) has for decades given the Fed the green light on inflation. Sometimes it runs hot (as per the red arrows) and sometimes it runs cold. One year ago people were confused about why a declining stock market was not influencing Fed chief Powell to reverse his relatively hawkish tone.

tyx
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Wooing Inflation

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The Continuum (the systematic downtrend in long-term Treasury yields) has for decades given the Fed the green light on inflation. Sometimes it runs hot (as per the red arrows) and sometimes it runs cold. One year ago people were confused about why a declining stock market was not influencing Fed chief Powell to reverse his relatively hawkish tone.

tyx

The orange arrow shows exactly why, per this post that will be one year old today.