Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Today vs. 2012; Different This Time for Gold

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Gold bugs will remember 2012 as the last year of hope that gold was still in its bull cycle as it managed to hold key support around 1550 into year end.

It should not be lost on us that here into year-end 2019 gold’s new bull cycle has risen to, and logically halted at, the very same former support that is now important resistance to a new bull market. We anticipated this resistance in the summer, and although the up-turning Semi cycle of 2013 was logical to gold’s demise 7 years ago, that is no longer the case as Semiconductor leadership takes a new leg up in 2019. Why? Well, let’s explore just a few of the differences between then and now.

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Ding Ding Ding… SPX at a Bull Turnstile or Bear Reversal Point

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On a not as bad as expected Payrolls report the US market is now at our target, which was a second hit of the upper reverse symmetrical triangle’s trend line. That became the objective after SPX took back the green lateral support area.

To review, bulls have the moving average trends, they have lateral support and they have blue sky’s unfettered possibilities. The bears have divergences in RSI and MACD with increasingly compromised bearish looks. In short, technically speaking the bears have not much more than bupkis.

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Silver & Gold to Inform Dr. Copper and so, the Macro

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They call copper the metal with the Ph.D. in Economics. But these days Doctor Copper is little more than a quack in that regard, taking a cue from the metals whose interplay will be critical to deciding the coming macro for 2020 and the run up to the next US election. Thus, they are the 3 Metallic Amigos, riding together but providing different signals at different times (this being nftrh.com, you will have to put up with the odd shtick from time to time).

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Silver/Gold Ratio is a Guide as Inflation Signals Fade Again

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The interplay between gold and silver is a critical component to understanding what is out ahead; to understanding whether long-term Treasury yields will rise and if they rise, whether it will be due to inflationary pressures. It is a critical component to understanding whether cyclical commodities and other aspects of a greater inflation/reflation trade will finally break existing downtrends. See…

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