Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Increasing Energy Exposure

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I like the bounce of the /ES off 832.50 – – very clean! With Obama feel-goodness coming up on Tuesday, and some rapid-fire, very high profile "help" he surely will offer the moment he sets foot in the White House, it's important to be prepared for the possibility of a rally. The drop over the past six days has been marvelously profitable (although I would have preferred super-duper marvelously, but that's my own dang fault). I've doubled my position in DIG and am entering a new position in DXO (purchase price: 2.85, stop price 2.42)

I remain at corporate headquarters and thus may be pretty silent much of the day.

Bounce Trade

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There is probably nothing more boring than hearing about a trader talk about "the one that got away," so I really try to avoid such things. I will express dismay at closing out my /ES so early. My short was beautifully timed, at about 873 yesterday. But I got out at 860 (in one account) and 850 (in another). We plunged hard, and now I am long 20 ES at 834 with a stop at 832.

My DIG hasn't been stopped out yet, although it's taking it on the chin. I am actually adding to this position, since I still think any bounce is going to take energy up with it big-time.

Flat-Footed

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Another sensational day on the market. I'm really down on myself, though, because I have a mountain of "undeployed" cash on the sidelines (about 30% of my entire portfolio), plus I eagerly took my /ES profits at 860 and 850, only to see the market continue to fall.

The main reason is that I'm so behind on charts. I haven't looked at my entire block of charts in days (which for me is like going without oxygen), so I imagine I am really blowing this move by not fully participating.

Thus ends my therapy session. Time to look at charts. I'm a mess…….

Doin’ the 860

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OK, it is very rare one gets to say this as a trader, but: this is a little too easy.

Lately I've been shorting the /ES in the low 870s with a stop above 880 and covering at 860.

The first time, it was a nice profit. The second time, it was cool to nail a similar trade again (while sleeping, no less). And the third time, just now, was a repeat of yesterday. That is: (1) short (2) sleep (3) cover.

"Easy" doesn't last, so given 860's importance, and given my worrywart nature, I figure at some point soon either (a) 860 will get broken hard, leaving me kicking myself for having covered the position; or (b) the market will explode higher, making me wish I had not only covered, but reversed.

But in a market like this, I just can't bring myself to be a bull in a major way; only with a variety of small equity positions.