Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Clean

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Bankers have a justifiably awful reputation, particularly after the financial crisis. Although they completely raped the country, the general meme afterward was, “Yeah, gee, they got away with it, but we’ve learned our lesson as a society. Now we have the laws in place to harshly punish misbehavior on the part of bankers, and if they do anything naughty again, we’re going to throw the book at them. So………..sorry, society, but we’ve got your back now. Honest.”

Thus the Dodd-Frank law was seen as the “make good” for humanity letting Lloyd Blankfein, Jamie Dimon, and all the rest of them not be strung up by their necks in 2008.

We got our first test of this recently when Carrie Tolstedt, whose 102,000 “team members” (ummm – clerks) were directed to execute one of the most massive frauds in financial history, was caught red-handed. Carrie was one of those featured in the “most powerful women in banking” cover stories that American Banker does regularly.

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Metals Correction May Continue Through September

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First published Sat Sep 10 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.netThe market action this past week started out quite strong, and raised many hopes.  However, since I do not have a clear 5 wave structure confidently developed off the recent lows, I have to put hopes aside, and view the market in a dispassionate manner.  And, that dispassionate manner sees strong potential for another drop in the complex.

Last week, I noted that I can become aggressively bullish again should we see a clear 5 wave structure complete off the recent lows.  While I can make a colorful attempt at classifying the recent rally in the metals complex as a 5 wave structure, I have to be honest in my analysis and state that, to me, it did not look like a clear 5 wave structure.  So, the immediate bullish count will only be an alternative to me at this time, which the market will have to prove to me.

That means I have moved into the current market action representing a wave ii in the larger GDX count, whereas silver and gold still seem to present as a wave 2 in wave iii.  However, should the GDX be able to strongly break out impulsively over the recent highs, then I will view everything in the heart of a wave iii higher.  This is my simplified perspective.

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Volatility Is Back and The TNX Patterns

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It’s been a bit of a bumpy ride since Friday morning, which I can say because I am a master of the understatement, and SPX broke back over my 2148 resistance yesterday, but failed just under the monthly pivot test into a retest of Monday morning’s low today. SPX should continue down to at least my weekly punch stat minimum target at 2108, and really further into rising wedge support, currently in the 2090-5 area. SPX 60min chart:

160913 SPX 60min

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