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I’m making an adjustment to my posts from now on where instead of simply speculating about future market direction, I’m going to offer a trade idea and plan. (insert customary disclaimer, educational purposes only, blah blah, I can’t make you buy or sell, use the plan at your own risk, etc. etc.) So let’s get to it.
The Context: As some of us are painfully aware, the S&P500 has been making higher lows and lower highs since the low of September 12th resulting in a triangle-like pattern.
The high window ended at the close on Friday and I’m leaning short into the end of October. Does this mean that SPX cannot make a new all time high in the next few days? No. Bears need to do some damage to support to open up the downside and the Friday low at triangle support wasn’t good enough. That is the key support that needs to be broken, as until that is broken, a triangle may well still be forming. The high so far today on SPX is not far away from triangle resistance. SPX 15min chart:
I’m going to say farewell to Detroit now (See ya!) and head to the airport. In the meantime, I leave you with this chart, which shows today’s ridiculous Crooks-Are-Awesome-For-President rally tagged the ES triangle perfectly
