Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

US Stock Market, Big Picture View

By -

Because perspective is everything, let’s once again get some big picture perspective…

S&P 500 is outside the lower fork line (again the Fork being a novelty, but the line being real) but above critical support.  Bears would call this an overthrow to the upside and massive bull trap.  We can call it an intact bull market above support and a very bearish market should that support be lost.

spx monthly chart

(more…)

Testing Double Top Support

By -

The rally on SPX was muted yesterday and SPX gapped through main rising wedge support this morning. I’m expecting this to follow though, though today has so far been about retesting that broken wedge support. That’s being retested now and if it holds as resistance then the next leg down should deliver a less brief break through double top support at 2119. SPX daily chart:

161013 SPX Daily

(more…)

Buy This Dip – the Bullish Perspective

By -

Note from Tim: in the name of balance, here’s a contribution from New Guy:

I wanted to make a quick case for why I believe the market is offering a favorable buying opportunity today. While some are approaching this recent price weakness as the beginning of a meaningful move lower, I think it is more likely that this is the end of a very mild dip.

My basic argument is that we are in the midst of a very healthy bull market. In a healthy bull market, we should keep taking advantage of oversold, low-risk opportunities until they stop working.

Healthy Bull Market

While major indices hover underneath their all-time highs, the stock market has been even stronger under the surface. This is evident from breadth:

1013-1

(more…)