Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Shoe—>Other Foot

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It dawned on me this morning that now I know what it feels like to be a bull.

And, no, I don't mean unattractive, simple-minded, and clueless. I mean I know what it feels like to be in control of a market.

When I was "fighting the bull" (market, that is), it was incredibly frustrating. I felt my analysis was sound, my trading was prudent – – and yet I kept getting smacked. I felt a lot of anger and resentment. I hated the market.

That must be what the bulls feel like now. Because now I'm totally at peace with the markets. And I am not feeling the "flip side" of the ugly feelings above (that is, boastful, vengeful, etc………not even vindicated!) So now I know what it feels like to really be on top of a market and feel confident about what it's going to do next.

The strangest thing of all is how easily I am able to take losses. I can drop $30,000 in portfolio value in a single day and not be the least bit upset about it. Is it because I don't like money anymore? No; it's simply because I know I'm going to make twice as much back the next day (or thereabouts). So I don't get rattled by "losses", because I know the setback is extremely temporary (such as when I was down $30k on Monday and made three times that much the very next day).

The real trick, of course, is to be able to transmogrify into a bull whenever the market truly does turn. Because I don't want to spend the rest of my life being happy with the markets only on those rare occasions when we truly are in bear mode!

Just for the hell of it, here's the LEH chart.

Pre-Employment

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I'm not sure why I'm bothering with a post about the pre-market when the key economic numbers are coming out in just a few minutes, but – – oh, well! For me, the good news is that the pre-market equities look extremely weak (black line below; this is a 5 day minute bar graph, tracked 24 hours/day). The not-so-good news is that oil still can't seem to find any strength (blue line). I wonder how many of my ten energy-related calls are going to survive the day.