Well, I gotta tell ya, today’s a disappointment. My portfolio has gained value, but whoop-de-fucking-do. We’ve got a situation in which it only took a few minutes for the permabulls to “see past the CPI report” and bid almost everything green again .The serious line to watch is, as I keep pointing out, the major Fibonacci retracement level. This invisible line is the battle zone.
(more…)Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Can I Have a Little Peril?
Just to lighten the mood.
A Miner Error
Curses! Shame on me! Feh!
I saw a golden opportunity to buy GDXJ at a very safe price: $30 with a stop at $29.80 (yeah, that is one tight stop). I bought it, wimped out, took a tiny loss, and saw it soar. My goodness, I suck! The point is that, as disappointing as gold has been at every turn, this seems like an opportune “cheap” price for miners. But I blew it, and I don’t have the stomach to go in at a worse price now. Shame. On.. Me.
Almost But Not Quite
The sea of red is a delight to the eye, but we’re not out of the woods yet. Since the market bottomed a month ago, we’ve been banging out a series of higher lows. Mercifully, we have not had higher highs; instead, it’s been stalling out below its price gap. But the point is that we need to take out that most recent “higher low”.
(more…)It Is Accomplished
Well, THAT was weird.
I come to you from my pitch-black home office (pretty much my favorite condition in the world) as I eagerly awaited the CPI to come out. It is, as of this typing on my keyboard, only a couple of minutes after the release.
At about 30 seconds before the release, I leaned in to my futures quotes and watched with intent interest. The following took place:
- The futures were all green throughout the night, in anticipation of some kind of “coiled spring” explosive move higher;
- About 10-15 seconds before the top of the hour, futures went ROARING higher, and I said (out loud, even though I was alone) “That’s not good.” I figured they must have accidentally released them a little early, and the number was obviously soft. The /ES was up about 48 points.
- Then it was up 35 points, then 16, and then it went negative. Then it went into a free-fall.