Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Sell Signal (by AlgoTradeAlert)

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Original post here: Solid labor market data tempered optimism for a potential rate cut, putting pressure on stock prices. The substantial jobs report on Friday presented a mixed picture. In December, nonfarm payrolls grew by 216k, maintaining the unemployment rate at 3.7%, with hourly earnings increasing by 0.44%. However, enthusiasm was tempered by revisions, with October revised down and November. This marks a trend where 10 of the last 11 months have seen downward revisions from the initial nonfarm payroll figures.

Initially, stock index futures reacted negatively to the news, but a turnaround occurred at the opening bell, leading to a rally until around lunchtime. However, most of these gains were later retraced. In a down cycle, we are likely to see rallies being sold, indicative of a downtrend. Despite the volatility, the major averages mostly closed in positive territory. It is crucial that the markets close positively on Fridays. Our economy is primarily consumer-based, and a positive market close on Fridays tends to boost consumer confidence, encouraging weekend shopping.

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Pairs Trading (by Garcia)

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Welcome to pairs trading, the strategy that’s less about following the market drum beat and more about conducting your band. Here, you take a long position in one stock, and its partner in crime gets the short straw. It’s like having twins with opposite personalities – you love them equally but for different reasons.

Picking Your Dynamic Duo: It’s about finding two stocks that mirror each other’s moves, usually from the same industry. They’re like dance partners who’ve been stepping on each other’s toes for years. When they suddenly forget their dance steps (i.e., their prices diverge), that’s your cue.

The Art of the Spread: In the world of pairs trading, ‘spread’ isn’t something you find in a bakery. It’s the gap between your two stocks. When this gap gets unusually wide, it’s not just interesting – it’s potentially profitable. You buy the laggard and short the leader, hoping they’ll snap back into their usual rhythm.

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