The bears did a lot of technical damage yesterday, and managed to both break down from the SPX triangle and briefly break below rising wedge support from the February low. I’m expecting more downside.
When a triangle like this breaks there is a sequence from that break. First there is a backtest of broken triangle support, often going back into the triangle, and we are watching that at the moment. Then the main thrust out of the triangle starts, and after that ends, the thrust is usually fully retraced. So far the backtest is forming a very decent looking shallow rising megaphone that is very likely to be a bear flag on this setup. When that breaks down the main triangle thrust down should be in progress. SPX 1min chart:
