Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Unity’s Top at the Bottom

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Normally, when one is hunting for intriguing short-sale setups, he might think the way to go is to look for something that’s really expensive and near lifetime highs. I’d like to offer a fresh example of something that doesn’t fit this mold.

Here is Unity Software (symbol U) which, as you can see by the tint, is sporting a remarkably well-formed head and shoulders pattern. It has all the characteristics you’d want to see: a well-defined shape, an easily identified neckline, a sharp drop, and a full retracement. This looks just a great place to short, or at least watch very closely to enter a bearish position.

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A Polar Flip

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I have long held the belief that popular media offers potent contrarian indicators. The “cover curse” is the most famous, but I’d like to mention a rather curious one specific to our own little industry here: Zerohedge.

See, ZH came into existence in February 2009 (our own beloved Slope was already four years old by then). Right from the get-go, and for years and years after, it was steadfastly cynical, critical, and very bearish. Understandably, I was a big fan. Plus, it made sense that this very bearish publication came out at the almost EXACT bottom of the bear market, which would take place just days later.

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Addicted to Getting High

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As we all await Powell tomorrow, and the market just keeps grinding its way higher, the retail report came out. For the second month in a row, it was a big miss, aligning with my judgment that we are in a recession and are heading much deeper into it. Weirdly, this bad economic news is just what the bulls wanted to see, since it feeds into the interest-rate-drops-are-good narrative.

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