I trust this rally about as much as I trust the government to save the economy. I'm shorting large quantities of SPY at these levels (84.91) with a stop at 86.20
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Watch for the MCKs of the World
This chart to me sums up the kind of exceptional opportunity coming…………stocks that were previously hammered and are clawing their way back to superb shorting levels. MCK isn't necessarily there yet, but it's getting close. This is the sort of pattern that's worth seeking.
Duo of Lovely Charts
While watching 24 last night, I thumbed through a bunch of charts, and here are a couple of sweet-looking shorts.
A Cool Paulson
Here's a brief article from the Financial Times about a great trader by the name of Paulson (no, no; not that Paulson). Of course, short-sellers are seen as evil, with even archbishops getting in on the bash.
Paulson & Co, one of the world's biggest hedge funds, has made a profit of at least 270m betting on a fall in the share price of Royal Bank of Scotland over the past four months.
New York-based Paulson, run by billionaire John Paulson, covered its short position in RBS on Friday, according to a regulatory filing, dropping below the 0.25 per cent disclosure limit.
The scale of the profit is likely to reinvigorate the debate over short selling, which has seen archbishops and politicians criticise the practice and the Financial Services Authority ban additional shorting of banks for months. Short sellers borrow and sell shares in the hope of buying them back for less and making profits after the price has fallen.
MPs will on Tuesday raise the issue with hedge funds testifying at a meeting of the Treasury select committee, following a letter from the committee's chairman to the FSA questioning its lifting of the ban.
As well as its short position in RBS, Paulson which manages more than $35bn has profited handsomely from shorting Barclays and Lloyds TSB, regulatory filings show, although it retains both these shorts.
But the fact it is reducing a short position may take some of the sting out of accusations that short sellers are to blame for the plunging prices of banks since the ban was lifted just over a week ago.
We think it was the right thing to lift the ban, said Richard Saunders, director-general of the Investment Management Association, which represents unit trust managers, mostly long-only investors.
However, other hedge funds have made quick profits from the falling prices by adding new shorts, including Lansdowne Partners. Its financial fund, run by former Morgan Stanley analyst William de Winton, made 17m last week by shorting Barclays for six days before covering its position.
According to analysis by Data Explorers, which measures short activity, short positions in British banks have risen in the past week, but remain much lower than last summer.
Paulson secured a profit from its RBS short of 275m from September, when it first revealed its position although investors said it had held a short position for months before that, suggesting profits could be far higher.
The decision to cover the short on Friday maximised its profit. RBS shares jumped a further 13 per cent on Tuesday, having surged almost 20 per cent on Monday.
Paulson declined to comment.