Bonds, as represented below by TLT, bottomed on October 23rd. Equities kept falling and bottomed four days later, after which time they went rocketing higher. The widespread notion that the multi-year bear market in bonds is somehow magically over, and that loaning money to the United States is suddenly a super idea, is not something I believe. On the contrary, the closer we get to that line at 92.43, the more confident I will be that the bounce is done. This, above all else (even Nvidia!) is key to the balance of 2023.
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
The Sad Slog
Does the market seem dull to you? You’re not alone. The VIX has eroded down to a snooze-worthy 13-handle. Between that and a big holiday week forthcoming, we might as well just click all our monitors off.
The good news is………..it ain’t gonna stay 13 forever, ya know.
Real Estate Panting
Below is a chart of the real estate fund IYR. I’ve been watching the price gap from September of $82.69, and this week we sealed it up nice ‘n’ neat. If this dashed line holds, we should see a renewed degradation in these prices.
Dead Battery
A couple of years ago might as well have been a couple of centuries ago. Gaze your eyes upon one of the hottest stocks of that period, Chargepoint, surging with its SPAC Offering and basking in the glow of Biden’s Build Back Better super-genius plan.
(more…)Since Independence Day
Let’s take a look at what the four major markets have done since early July of this year.
We begin with the /ES, which has made a series of three lower highs. I’ve put a dashed line indicating where the second one was, to illustrate the “Do Not Cross” level for present price levels. We are slightly about the Fibonacci right now, indicating support (albeit shaky).
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