What Will Drive Brazil Nuts

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I have been very happy with my short position against Brazil (by way of Sept. 30 2024 $30 puts). I decided to look a bit deeper into the components of this ETF, and the two big boys are VALE:

And PBR, which looks particularly vulnerable:

It shouldn’t frankly matter what’s under the surface, since the EWZ chart does a good job speaking for itself, but it’s comforting to see the house against which I own fire insurance is surrounded by tall, dry brush.