Slope of Hope Blog Posts
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We all get these, but it doesn’t make them any less entertaining…
This time, Ms. Annette even carefully spelled out the ticker symbol – ya know, to make things easier for calling your broker.
From: Annette Meyer [mailto:Meyer0661@daekogslanger.dk]
Sent: Tuesday, April 25, 2017 4:09 AM
Subject: By tomorrow evening this stock will be twenty times higher
Did you read my urgent email yesterday?
An S&P 500 heatmap from Friday shows the extent of the Red Sea inspired from across The Pond. However… money flowed into one stock that actually hit new highs. These are great days to isolate equities with concentrated capital chasing alpha.
What better way to celebrate new found volatility than to offset bearish blog bias with bullish resistance ???
Check it out:
The MO MO Trade
For nearly 2 years, waiting for pullbacks, loading, then unloading on measured move highs has been a nice strategy for Altria. Lather, rinse, repeat. Of course, this doesn’t have to last forever, but as long as the higher highs > higher lows trend continues, we’ll stick with it. (more…)
Fly like a butterfly, sting like a bee…
The pre-earnings option analysis for CMG is interesting. We see lots of volume churn in this week’s options in bullish strikes, but little to show for it in fresh, sustained open interest.
In Chicago we have a saying – the tape doesn’t lie.
Check out the open interest for the February 2016 option contracts on AAPL prior to earnings today. This snapshot was taken at approximately 11:28AM ET on January 26 (the morning before the earnings release) and AAPL was trading right around $100 at the time. Open interest suggests many permabulls were loading up in the days leading up to Tuesday’s earnings release.
Then, check out the disparity in put option contract volume today. Who knew?
Where will AAPL head on Wednesday? The market maker move was anticipated at roughly +/- $6 above or below that nice round $100 level. What will AAPL do on Wednesday? Who knows.
The best thing about weekly scheduled “news” events is that they can offer volatility and entertainment. The worst thing is that unsuspecting retailers regarding them as actual “news” and don’t recognize news events and scheduled releases for the scams that they truly are.
This week’s exhibit in the you-can’t-make-this-stuff-up category is none other than light, sweet, and lately crude West Texas Intermediate.
Wednesdays before expiration (especially on FOMC days) are special days.
Volume is split between 2 contracts. We have stops getting killed on both sides of indecision, and then a lot of chop, chop, slam…. chop, chop, slam…. It reminds me of the old Duck, Duck, Goose game. Only this time, retail stops are left holding the bag and can’t find a chair or get a break.
The witching hour appears to be the hour going into oil pit close.
The news scams and crude market forecasts are becoming even more crude.
You can read last week’s Bloomberg article quoting the helpful folks at GS here:
Bloomberg: Goldman Says $40 Oil Call May Be Too Low as Demand Surprises
Then, you can enjoy this chart showing what appears to be a nice Distribution Zone, followed by a 10+ sigma, 7-handle move to down. Please enjoy the custom selected colors:
Long live 50s! Errrr…. 40s!
If you really wanna have a blast, join the fun at #RigCountGuesses.
As a quick followup to yesterday’s post, one individual aced the grease monkey test today and shorted for profits. Everyone else complained about the black color background of the oil charts. So, I have done my best to repaint the walls in pink, chartreuse, aubergine, and re’tailer blue.
Congrats Ace! You nailed it. Although they didn’t make it easy, grease sold off today once they were done with precision calibration for the Nat Gas news event (they are sooo related).
Catch you next Prince Spaghetti Day.
Old MacDonald had an oil farm, E-I-A, E-I-A, Oh!
With a stop run here and a stop run there,
here a stop, there a stop, everywhere a retail stop, E-I-A, E-I-A, Oh!
Wednesdays are Prince Spaghetti Day. They are also when the US Energy Information Administration releases its weekly petroleum status and crude oil inventories (except during holiday weeks). Check out the last 3 EIA news scam days.
Not quite sure what grease has to do with Greece, but all instruments seem to be on edge today (and it’s Opex). May the good guys win.
Two very interesting zones have emerged as reference points on grease:
Don’t forget the Rig Count scam at 1300 ET.
Originally posted @TradeFlightPlan