Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Go Fourth: Crucial Knowledge

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As I mentioned in a post yesterday, I was delighted to see The Fourth Turning is Here book, which I purchased and read over the course of just a couple of days (which is no mean feat, since this sucker is nearly 500 pages long).

I truly enjoyed the book, although I’d say easily 70-80% of the book is there for fleshing out the concepts. The entire thesis of this book, as well as its prediction about what is to come, could be condensed down to probably about thirty pages or so. This is not to say that the bulk of the book is fluff; it’s simply not essential to the points being made.

I’m certainly not going to try to boil it down further into a single post, but I’d at least like to share a variety of thoughts and impressions drawn from my reading. I’m going to be completely lazy and just bang this out as a series of individual, disjointed paragraphs. I’ve also interspersed a variety of graphics that are related to the content.

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The Last One

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As I mentioned at the start of my True Gold post on Sunday, I’ve had my fill of the whole bearish thing. My avatar is just my face, not a bear. My x.com profile doesn’t even mention or hint at anything bearish. I’m just……….Tim Knight. Nothing more.

Having said that, I have ONE and ONLY one bearish position left, and I’m going to stick with it until the bitter end: EFA. Looking at it over the past four months, it’s nothing special.

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The Cynical Seven

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When the markets are going up day after day, week after week, and month after month, I get especially contemplative. I probably think way too much for my own good anyway, but it’s “worse” when the markets are doing nothing but making daily new highs.

I think it’s fairly common for folks to think about the fantasy of leaping back to their younger selves and giving them some kind of advice or counsel which would serve them well. I’m not talking about something silly and specific like “Buy Bitcoin in 2010 and never, ever sell it” but something more general. This may come off as super-cynical, but it isn’t really meant to be. These are honestly the must-have tips I would offer my younger self for persistent success in the post-1987 U.S. equity market:

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Pure Imagination

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I suspect most of you have heard about the incident in Glasgow, Scotland, in which parents and children alike were beckoned to buy tickets to have a “chocolate experience” created by none other than Willy Wonka which would be “a chocolate fantasy like never before“. Fanciful images were offered to suggest the kind of sensational, vibrant paradise that could be experienced at this one-of-a-kind event.

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