Two Point Six Million

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There are bubbles everywhere, and just about the only one indirectly benefiting me is the one in Palo Alto residential real estate. I bought my house in 1991 for about 15% of its current value, and the market could utterly crash around here and I wouldn’t feel a thing. The people paying five, six, or seven million dollars for a house (not a mansion………a house) could be deeply regretting their decision down the road. (more…)

Bonds Continue the Slide

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As I’ve said ad nauseum, interest rates accelerating higher could be the defining theme of 2014. Since bottoming in July 2012, the ten-year T-note rate represented by symbol $TNX has more than doubled. Freakishly, real estate seems to be merrily hopping along, as if 2008 never happened. I can report to you from my pleasant town that I wish I had some way to buy puts on Palo Alto real estate, because it’s insane (again). In any event, the bonds, represented by symbol TLT below, continue to crumble away, and I remain short. (more…)