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The /ES continues to grind uncomfortably and annoyingly along its descending trendline of resistance. It could, of course, pop above it at any moment. Given the fact the trendline isn't even a week in length, a break above it wouldn't be explosive, but it would be another carpet tack in the coffin of the bearish argument.
Some might assume, based on my disposition, that I am massively short the market. I'm not. I have about 10% of my buying power deployed in short positions. I've got 3000 shares of SSO to ameliorate the market's strength. I've been spending virtually all my time getting ready for, but not executing, the trades which interest me.
The Russell looks like this right now:
Operating in the favor of the bulls………
Broad uptrend still very much intact;
There's about 8% upside from here before the major resistance at that rectangle
And, just now, AA reported earnings which the market seems to really like.
In the bears' favor……..
Massive resistance overhead
Looking closer, we can see the series of lower lows and lower highs, but one good strong day higher could break this:
I haven't trade XOM in a long time – maybe ever – I can't remember. But I notice some folks are talking about it. From a very long-term perspective, this is a mega-cap stock that is definitely showing its age. It cracked its very long-term trendline on October 10, 2008, and it's been mushing around it ever since.
Getting the Beatles Rockstar game has put me in full-tilt Beatles mode, so I've been watching Let It Be for the first time in years. Here's a particularly good part featuring the last part of their rooftop concert. This is the one part of the film where they all seem really happy.
There are two broad categories of short opportunities I am finding – – the first is an inverted saucer that had a huge plunge to March of this year and has recovered all the way back to its failure point. BCS is a superb example of this.
The second are items whose trendlines have been broken. One example – QLD, shown below – is the ultralong on the NASDAQ. Some people don’t believe in technical analysis when applied to ultra-ETFs; I disagree. A chart is a chart is a chart.