MAY’S PERFORMANCE
Further to my post of May 25, the SPX didn’t quite reach its potential R1 target of 3095.86 for the month of May. Rather, it hit a high of 3068.88 by month’s end and was just 24.57 points shy of that level, as shown on the following monthly chart.
However, in my post of May 17, I gave the SPX a 55% chance of moving higher, when its price was 2863.70. Since then, it gained 205.18 points in nine trading days into the end of May.
So, all in all, I’d have to say that the the bulls were a little more than 55% successful in moving this market higher, even though it didn’t quite make its R1 target.
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