Slope of Hope Blog Posts

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Binary Decision Point

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I was looking earlier this week on the very high quality falling wedge that had formed on SPX from the last high and considering the odds that it was a bull flag setting up a retest of the high.

Since then the wedge has broken up, retraced about 50% of the decline, and an IHS has formed with a target back at a retest of the last high.

At this stage there are only two main options. Firstly that the IHS breaks up, converts the neckline to support, and goes on to retest the last high, and secondly that SPX drops back through 4360, and likely then retests the last low at 4328.09, and then very possibly down further. It is very likely that we will see one of those two options happen next.

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