The Ending of Twist

By -

From MarketWatch

“The Federal Open Market Committee Fed’s bond-purchase
programs, known as Operation Twist, expires next month. Under the
program, the Fed has been buying long-term Treasurys and selling its
holdings of shorter-dated Treasurys, effectively “twisting” the yield
curve that charts the gap in yields between different maturities.

Investors expect the Fed to continue its buying of long-term
Treasurys while letting the short-term sales expire, in effect expanding
its program known as quantitative easing, or QE, beyond large-scale
purchases of mortgage-backed securities — something to which the Fed’s
committed to doing as long as necessary.”

Below is a look at what the Twist manipulation has done as various
items – and notably, gold – have been held in a corrective grip by the
“sanitized” aspect of Twist, which does not increase the money supply. 
It is of course bald faced (in that it is very official and not just in
the realm of Tin Foil Hatters) manipulation of something that has
traditionally been a ‘free market’ indicator of systemic stress or lack
thereof.

yield spread

Here’s a compelling view by a log scale chart of gold dutifully following the yield spread.

yield curve and gold

Both charts have been used in NFTRH, where we a deal in what is, not what should be.  What is
is a barbarous relic that also acts as monetary insurance and barometer
of systemic problems towing the line with a yield curve whose structure
has been manufactured.

What happens if they terminate (or are forced to terminate by lack of
short-term bond supply) this operation in December as the currently
announced Twist phase ends?  Well then, inflation may become just a
little bit more honest.

http://www.biiwii.com