Happy Cinco de Bearo

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When I ambled off to bed last night, I was somewhat nervous. Although I had covered all of my large short positions, I still had 88 – yep, 88 – small-to-medium-sized short positions, and zero longs. My belief was that even if the market showed strength Thursday and/or Friday, I could enter one or two very, very large ETF longs to neutralize things until any buying strength was exhausted. Suffice it to say, I went to bed somewhat nervous, and the last quote my sleepy eyes fetched from my bedside iPad was +5.50 on the /ES

You can imagine my relief upon waking at 5:45 and – as always, first thing I do – grabbing my iPad and seeing the /ES was down 8.5 points (and now down 10, as of this writing). What the bulls wanted to see was the green arrow below – that is, the successful test of the neckline and a launch skyward to 1430.

Instead, the +5.50 gain last night when I nervously went to sleep happened to be the most they would get, and it started slowly melting from then on. So I imagine my only regret will be the 43 stocks I have in my Bear Pen watchlist on which I have no positions. Seriously, though, I am grateful for the downdraft this morning, and I intend to keep my wits about me. In other words, gains are fine, but greed can lead one to suboptimal decisions. So let's watch ourselves and our emotions carefully, yes?

0505-ES