Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Watch the Kiwi!

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I noticed something interesting tonight when I happened to glance at the New Zealand kiwi:


That's right – – a potentially beautiful head and shoulders pattern. If completed, the target would be 0.75. Looking at the longer-term, daily chart, we might push past that and get to 0.73. In any case, I found during the oh-so-wonderful 2008 that this was a vitally important exotic currency to watch.


Huge Negative TICK Readings (by Leaf_West)

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I was on top of the TICK-o-Meter today (I tweeted several times about it) and that made me some good money short this morning.  The extreme reading made me do some quick looking at previous negative extremes.  I've looked at positive extremes before but not negative extremes.

I did a quick look back at the maximum negative TICK readings for the NYSE over the past several months … surprisingly there seems to be about 1/month.

My initial thought is that these TICKs are good exhaustion type events, and looking at the data has confirmed it.  The only thing that is different here today is the consensus thinking on commodities.  Today is much more bearish than during the other dates noted.  That could make today's hang-over last a little bit longer and mute any near term bounce.

TICKS_May11, 2011_03

Cheers … Leaf_West