Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

AAPL Update (by Leaf_West)

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One market leader that is actually holding up really well is AAPL … price is actually above the price of May 2nd when its weighting in the NDQ was slashed to 12%.  Currently it looks like momentum is regenerating power to allow it to break out of the bull flag pattern ($351 is the break-out price).

I am long AAPL and am using the 50EMA as my stop … My target is for a new all-time high and hopefully either of the 61.8% or 100% pattern target of $367.35 – $380.70.

AAPL_May4, 2011_Daily

AAPL_May4, 2011_30min_MA
AAPL_May4, 2011_Daily_Relative
3:20pm Edit … I also added some $340 calls with this Friday's expiry to my long position as well

Cheers … Leaf_West

Why FSLR Fizzled

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The market's been feeling really different lately – – and in a good way.

I feel like I've been going to an exotic dancing club night after night, and each evening Abby Joseph Cohen has come slinking out onto the stage. Worse, with the exception of her upper lip, she hasn't even bothered to shave. For me, it's a combination of revulsion and disappointment.

Ever since OBL was shot-through-the-dayam-haid, the market has felt remarkably different. One of my favorite shorts, First Solar, has blossomed beautifully. It had a couple of properties on its chart that I liked:

(1) A failed bullish breakout, tinted below in yellow. By all rights, this stock should have soared into the 200s. Instead, it wilted like the formerly stiffened giblets of the gentlemen attending the aforementioned strip club;

(2) A failed trendline, circled below in red. This broke the stock once and for all.

The stock might lurch up and down for a while, but there's really no firm bottom I see for FSLR.