Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
I am considered by many to me a permabear. That’s an understandable assessment. I feel the same way about myself.
But the analytical Tim is somewhat different than the dogmatic Tim. The analytical Tim was on full display in a best-of-Slope post I did over three months ago about the “Runaway Russell”.(Slope+ premium members got a deeper dive, along with a specific numeric prediction). (more…)
Ever since the current (final wave 5?) leg in the now 4 year, 7 month old US stock bull market generated in November of 2012, NFTRH has tried to make the point that there is no new secular bull market in US stocks. Indeed, there is a maturing cyclical bull market that has another 5 (+/-) months to live if it is to match the two previous cycles. The bubble leader, Russell 2000 does after all have a measured target of 1350 (Kisses Goodbye). (more…)
I guess it’ll be pretty much the advertising to which we’ve all been accustomed for the past 70 years or so, just in a different medium………..va-va-voom/same old, same old……and from a staid old insurance company, no less. Exhibit A :
Ahead of the FOMC statement, I think it’s important to load up the quiver with some short opportunities just in case whatever is said marks another short-term top like last FOMC statement.
Here’s the setups: (more…)
My best short position today is Penske Auto Group, shown below. I’m hanging on to it, however, since I think it won’t stabilize until somewhere between $34 and $35. (more…)