Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
While we’re on the subject of Mr. Bullard, the opening segment from this week’s NFTRH (#335) had a little fun with the Fed. Serious multi-market and economic analysis came later, but sometimes you just need to shake your head in awe and wonder.
The Fed is important because millions of market participants believe it is important and a critical mass of people are under the illusion that its policies have put the “Great Recession” in the past and laid a path for a sustainably good economy going forward. In short, confidence in the Fed has never been more pervasive as it reaps the reward (the respect and confidence of the majority) for a job well done.
I’ve always been fond of my surname, “Knight”. It’s easy-to-remember, easy-to-spell, and it’s got kind of a nice archaic ring to it. It certainly beats Tim Lipschitz or some other alternate. My older brother took the time to do some research of the family tree, and yesterday he sent me a deck of slides outlining the paternal history of the family.
It was an impressive work, since he was able to get it back as far as 1624 England. Evidently my 8th grandfather came to Jamestown early in the days of the colonies. So now I’ve got a chain of Knights going back nearly 400 years.
Here’s today’s swing-trading watch-list:
Long Accenture (ACN)
Hello to all Slopers, before we begin the analysis of the E-mini S&P500 today we want to make a brief re-cap of what was the situation in our last post 10 days ago. Basically we suggested to NOT GO SHORT, because the market was oversold, and we indicated the ~2040 price area as the most likely bottom, you can read it all in our previous post indicated above. The market massively bounced from there, hopefully you have followed our advice and avoided going SHORT at the bottom. Today we will look at the market and try to forecast with our models what is in store for the next 1-2 weeks.
We saw a trend up day that petered out in the afternoon on Friday. We may see some retracement today in which case strong support is still at the daily middle band, now at 2089. SPX daily chart:
As I mentioned in my post on February 24th, 150.00 is the Bull/Bear Line-in-Sand level for the SPX:VIX ratio, as shown on the updated Daily ratio chart below.
At the moment, price is back above this level, after bouncing in between 160.00ish and 120.00ish since that last post.